Friday 28 February 2014

Honest Agents

The list of honest agents in Xpert Eleven has been one of the most closely guarded secrets for years, but as evaluations are now as low as 5000 Econ (they used to be a flat 250,000) then it's pretty inconceivable anybody would bid without evaluating and there's no point in the big secret anymore.

Honest Agents

If you buy a player from any of these guys he will be exactly the skill level that he says.

  • Al Corleone
  • Billy Wonka
  • Kevin Kagge


Dishonest agents

These agents can underevaluate or overevaluate players. Some agents are better than others - in my experience Maria Sinn & Richard Righteous are probably the most unreliable.

  • Bill Cates
  • Buster Bargin
  • Gary Greed
  • George Bollocks
  • Goran Djuric
  • Helen Paradise
  • Maria Sinn
  • Mustafa Hamid
  • Richard Righteous
  • Steve Reave
  • Tony Dakota



Wednesday 26 February 2014

Surviving the new Transfer Market changes

In January the privalt league transfer markets were merged into one and also the minimum evaluation fee was reduced to 5000 econ. This seems to be causing significant problems for many of the top players.


What's happening?


I've just had 3 teams hit silly season within a week so I'm feeling the full force of the changes and they are significant. It seems like all players are experiencing a degree of inflation, young and old alike.

Highly sought after players such as 17/4s with a SQ or youngsters with Hard Trainer are drawing in ridiculous bids. This has been happening to a degree since evaluations were reduced to 35,000 econ but now it's going wild.

Typical prices at the time of writing:

16/3  with HT (no other SQs)                                                       4m+
17/4 with HT (no other SQs)                                                        6m+
16/3 with HT and good SQs (eg heading an quick, or FK)         12m
16/2 with HT (no other SQs)                                                      1-2m

The strange thing is the inflation seems to be hitting players that would previously have been overlooked. Few managers would buy invest in 16/2 until recently, even with Hard trainer, yet now the prices and competition are significant.

Another growing trend seems to be people adjusting to the staggered transfer market times. 0000 X11 time is still the most popular time to list and buy players but players seem to be getting sniped at the most unusual times.


Competing with multiple teams

A big gripe right now is conflict in the TM when you have multiple teams competing for similar players. I'm having this problem now and it can be awkward, but you need to plan ahead a little and change your strategy.

I started off evaluating players as they came on the list - it is certainly cheaper doing that with many players costing 5-10k to evaluate the first day. When more of my teams had their CR I was finding I couldn't evaluate players because I'd already checked them with another team and this was more annoying when a team found a good player, got outbid but a richer team of mine would have liked that player.

The best plan seems to be planning ahead and only checking players you might actually want. I evaluate the higher quality players with the team with most money first until I find one I'm genuinely interested in. I then stop evaluating with that team and start looking for potential targets with my other teams, all the while restricting my searches to players I would definitely buy whereas in the past i have checked out lots of "maybe" players.


Friday 21 February 2014

Choosing a playmaker

Choosing the right playmaker in XpertEleven can win or lose a game. In truth choosing the wrong playmaker, or having your playmaker marked, is more likely to lose a game. A lot of the decision making process will depend on your team too.



Playmaker rule #1

Rule number 1 with playmakers is don't get your PM marked. Anything too obvious is a bad choice - to the extent you may need to look at your team setup. This is also the area where scouting the opposition manager can help - how obvious are his marking options? Does he always mark the best midfielder, the freekicker, a forward - nobody? having a good idea who they will mark gives more scope for PM selection.


Basic playmaker selection

According to the rules the playmaker should be your strongest midfielder, preferably with intelligence. Unfortunately this is often too obvious a choice, and is a very strong reason not to have a standout midfielder. This can be more problematic with conveyor type teams where players are of varying skill levels than a flat team setup where you might have 5 midfielders with just a bar between them.


When to select a playmaker


You will always get a benefit from having a playmaker, even if all your players are exactly the same skill. The benefit is greater if you have lesser skilled players, eg youngsters, in midfield as you want to bypass these players as much as possible.

The downside is getting your playmaker marked, which can significantly weaken your team. I would suggest that if your team is significantly stronger (especially in midfield) then it might be best not to take the risk of PM selection, and similarly if you have just 1 or 2 significantly strong midfielders - and other times you should probably try to vary playmaker selection and pick one as often as possible.


PM selection & tactical considerations

Picking a PM who has SQs that compliment your style of play will always be beneficial. Heading or quick is great if your team is playing wing plays or through plays. Equally shooting power for playing long range shots. There are also some other SQs which work well with tactical setups.

If you are playing cheat with a referee then any player with the cheat SQ will get a boost, and this is beneficial if your playmaker has cheat. This is especially good because your opponent won't know which players have cheat as it's a hidden SQ.

The stamina SQ is great if you are playing bruise where you gain an advantage to having your PM tire slower than other players. The problem with this is it can be predictable.

Intelligent and cool are always good SQs to have on a playmaker, as is greedy.

Moody can be a massive risk and will often do more harm than good on a playmaker. A bad performance, especially if he is marked, can cost you a game that you should have won easily. Personally I am not a fan of moody on midfielders because it can limit your PM options. The flip side is it could be a selection in a game you expect to lose - where a great game could swing it for you.


Having no playmaker


Going without a playmaker is a viable option if all your midfielders are of a similar level. It removes one of the biggest risks - that of having your playmaker marked. Generally it is a more viable option if you have the stronger side, and all your midfielders are of a similar skill level. Sometimes though it's best to toss a coin or roll a dice if you have a number of equally valid PM options - at least that way you won't be predictable.

Saturday 15 February 2014

Player Retirements - facts and myths

In my early days on XpertEleven I was scared to buy players aged 29+ because of the risk of retirement -a big investment this season could see me without my star player next season. The reality of player retirements is nowhere as bad as the expectation as the figured below show.


Age     Retirement Chance
290.2%
301.6%
312.1%
323%
334.2%
3427.8%
3525.6%
3641.6%
3750%
3833.3%

You are pretty unlucky if a player retires before 34. In my personal experience players over 34 keep form really badly so you can realistically see this as the end of their career.

It's generally accepted that playing more games with a player reduces the liklihood they will retire the following season.  The above stats are global so many of those players will not have played games - in which case the retirement statistics for active players is probably a lot lower.

Friday 14 February 2014

Long Ball and Pressure Together

There is a lot of confusion over whether long balls and pressure can be played together so lets clear up a bit of the confusion:

Long balls

Long ball is something you do when are in possession of the ball. Long passes direct from defence or mid to the forwards, somewhat bypassing the passing game and making your midfield strength less relevant - when attacking.

As ever your midfield is your first line of defence and playing long balls won't really help in this regard.

A caveat to longballs is it is a tactic that doesn't seem to work well since stamina changes were introduced around 2011.

Pressure

Pressure is something you do when the other team has the ball. Closing the opposing players down, forcing mistakes and trying to gain possession in midfield. It's more work (& therefore more tiring) than not playing pressure. It effectively boosts your midfield strength.


Longballs and pressure together?


Longballs is something you do while in possession of the ball and pressure is something you do when the opposition has the ball.
Indeed pressure is probably more important when you have a weaker midfield.

There is no reason not to use them together other than maybe fatigue. Longballs causes you to give the ball away more, and you tire when you don't have the ball. Pressure makes you more tired too.

Friday 7 February 2014

Home advantage

In XpertEleven teams have a home advantage factor and this can be a big issue when trying to win competitions. Teams also have an equivalent away disadvantage to their home advantage.

General concensus seems to be that a smaller home advantage is best as home games should be winnable anyway, whereas a large away disadvantage is a massive penalty.

How to identify your home advantage


There are 2 ways you can check how your home/away advantage stack up. The first method is to look at your overall team stats and juist divide home wins by away wins - with enough games in the sample this should give a reasonable estimate of yuor home advantage. Below are 2 examples:


The number of match wins H/A = 84/44 = 1.91. This is very much on the high end and most teams seem to be around 1.6. Compare that with this team:





Compare that with this team where H/A = 83/62 = 1.34 which is a low home advantage. There is also a similar ratio in the number of goals scored home & away by the 2 sides.

Another way of checking for home advantage is to see how many bars the teams play to in home/away games. If your team regularly gets 3+ more bars in midfeld/defence (on the match report) at home than away then you are going to have problems/



How to combat strong home advantage


A strong home advantage could be a massive problem and even stop a team reaching the highest levels in strong leagues. At least if you are aware of the problem maybe you can do something about it. You can try investing more in better defensive players than other parts of your team or dropping the tem offensive rating down a notch away - say play defensive rather than cautious more frequently. Also it may be worth checking out the home advantage of opposition teams prior to matches and any teams you are thinking of applying for.

Saturday 1 February 2014

January 2014 updates

Key changes during january
  • Ads removed for VIP members 
  • Transfer markets merged
  • Merged the private leagues databases from 4 to 1 
  • Lowered the minimum evaluation cost from 35000 to 5000

The big change was the merging of databases 2-5 for private leagues. This means a single transfer market for all teams offering more choice of players.