Friday 13 September 2013

Finding underevals in the official leagues

It is possible to actively seek out undereval players in the official leagues - but it does take a lot of effort and patience. If it works out it can be very profitable.

When players are sold they undergo a mini-CR. That is to say thier skill level is adjusted based on the portion of the season played, DV gained etc. As you get a link to the player at their original club (blue link players) it's possible to see much of this information and make in informed judgement before evaluating a player. The following areas need exploring.


Matches played

If a player hasn't played any matches then they have no ME, minimal DV and won't gain a positive mini-CR. Indeed they will likely lose something when transferred. You need to see what proportion of the season a team has played and ideally players need to have played that proportion of the games they need to gain "100% DV".

An example might be a 17/4 player in a 10 bar team. The player might need around 300 minutes playtime over the course of the season. If they are sold at the midway point of the season you really need 150+ minutes playtime on them. If they are sold with more matchtime than this then that makes the chances of being undereval higher.

Be wary of teams just after the CR. it may show a player has had a lot of games but in reality they might just have had a CR and not played any games int he current season.


Previous games

Check out the previous games. Many coaches might bring a sub on 5 minutes from the end of several games. This looks liek the player has had 3 or 4 games but in reality he might only have had 20 minutes.


Team form & player performances


For a player to gain a good Cr they need good form. Only the manager of the team knows this but you can have clues. If you look at the team's form and it it high then it's likely that player has high form - and has had throughout the season. Similarly if the team form is low then probably all players have been neglected equally.

If you look at a player's past performances then regularly playing to his skill level or better is an indication of good form. Be wary of vastly fluctuating performances - the often indicate a moody player, not good form.


Look at previous season


Previous seasons can be a big clue to a player's skill level. If a player jumped in skill the last season after just playing 1 or 2 games it's likely they are low in their skill band to begin with. If a player jumped based on 10 games then maybe they had high DV and are high in their band.


Stage of the season


Players rarely jump on transfer in less than 4 matchdays in the official leagues. The later in the season the more chance there is to jump - as long as they have played enough minutes.


Evaluate


If everything looks good evaluate the player. Occasionally players who aren't underevals may still be worth buying as they can be high in their skillband so good DJ candidates.


Farming


Player farming is where you buy an undereval player one season and then try to sell him for a profit the same season. There is a minimum time of 1 month before you can list a player. Usually you need to list a player for below the average price as a lot of leagues may not be able to bid on the player.


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